Elections mood – South India twin States: Andhra Pradesh & Telangana #LOKSabha2019

Today the talking point is not one but two states and both are the South Indian states. For the first time, these states will hold Lok Sabha elections as separate states. It’s the Andhra Pradesh and Telangana. Andhra Pradesh before bifurcation was the third joint highest seat state with West Bengal. After the division though Andhra got 25 seats and Telangana got 17 seats which total to 42 seats.

Fact Check: The total no of registered voters in Andhra are 3.69cr which is compared to 3.68cr in 2014. Whereas smaller state Telangana has got 2.8cr voters . So almost we have got 6.5 crore people voting in this Lok Sabha elections 2019.

Andhra Pradesh:

Andhra Pradesh is also going for Assembly elections along with the Lok Sabha elections. With both State and Central elections falling on the same day, and for many other reasons the Andhra Pradesh elections are much more exciting than the Telangana Elections. If we look at the contest, in Andhra this is going to be a 5 cornered contest. We have Telugu Desam Party (TDP), YSR Congress Party (YSRCP), Jana Sena+BSP+CPI+CPM, Bharatiya Janata party (BJP) and Congress (INC).  

CBN – PAWAN – JAGAN!

Off the 5 parties, Jana Sena is the newly entrant party which is mostly dominated by the Kapu community, Pawan Kalyan the party founder was clever to bring coalition with left parties like CPI + CPM and also the Dalit party.

There is nothing to talk about the Congress as the Congress is completely non-existent and are in complete tough position. Same goes with the BJP who are not existent but are eager for the fighting every seat.  

When we look at the leaders from parties: TDP has got lot of experienced people like Ram Mohan Naidu from Srikakulam. Ashok Gajapati Vijayanagngram and  Surya Bhaskar reddy from Kurnool.

The opposition party has got two leaders who are the relatives of Jagan Mohan Reddy and they are Avinash reddy from Cuddapah, Mithun reddy from Rajampet.

Thus the fight for Lok Sabha 2019 in Andhra will be fought by 3 parties majorly. Congress and BJP might not win even a single seat. YSRCP and TDP will be the parties who will win the most. The point here is the entry of Jana Sena party has started to hurt TDP. That’s because the voters of TDP also fall under the category of Kappu.

Now let’s look at the most easiest State to estimate the results: Telangana

Firstly TRS has got no opponents who are strong enough to defeat KCR and his party in any seat. After the assembly elections the wave has proven the amount of support he has got from the people of Telangana. As expected TDP is not contesting the Telangana Elections. But Congress has decided that they will still fight and not give up. They have got people who have the ability to win in Telangana.  Madhu Yashki goud from Nizamabad, Revanth reddy from Malkajgiri, Uttam Kumar reddy from Nalagonda and many more good leaders are fighting for Congress.  

TRS will ride on their big leaders and as well as on the Party’s and KCR wave. But the one seat which is definitely in hands of KCR is the Nizamabad where Kavitha is contesting.  The one which BJP will hope to win is the Secunderabad seat which is gone to Kishan reddy.

If the magic of KCR is still working, TRS will win 14-15 seats, Congress might win 1-2. This would mean it is going to be a complete sweep.

Now,  Andhra Pradesh and Telangana have got 42 seats and we have a completely new National alliance which includes AP and Telangana and that’s called as Federal Front. Federal front has got TRRS and YSRCP as members. Going by the figures it’s possible that Federal Front will win almost near to 35 seats.

Till now we have looked at Four different states from four sides of the Country. Maharashtra is in the favour of NDA, Tamil Nadu will be held by DMK+Congress, West Bengal will be once again swept by TMC which is the Third Front and AP+Telangana will be swept by Federal Front. Things are turning really interesting!!

Published by Sriram

A Teacher trying to Learn new things and explore the world each day! Believe in Happiness by the virtue of sacrifice and forgiveness.

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